TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd962…1d5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST5745.6%26 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.8%+$211.52
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$76.5
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$145.22
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$313.01
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$126.83
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$198.54
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.29
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.69
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$128.76
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+170.3%+$605.59
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,412Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.6%+$974.07
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$466.59
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$228.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$201.63
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,146.37
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$41.99
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$8.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+32.1%+$3.69
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$53.75
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 46°F or higher on January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C on January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$18.62
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on January 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$57.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on January 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$154.55
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$35.18
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$528.44
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$17.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+150.6%+$66.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$23.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.