Champions League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c78a646faee43dc1d14c6e1aff915493d8c25f999dc48cc4b4920068c7b0f7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $702,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $714,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 26c | 98,532$25,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,618.4 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 93,324$68,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,104.14 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 44,773$32,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,195.71 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 20c | 31,518$6,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,372.16 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 29c | 30,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.96 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 30c | 19,422$5,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,843.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 73c | 15,321$11,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.63 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 74c | 13,937$10,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed No | 13c | 12,000$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 29c | 12,000$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.94 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 74c | 9,469$7,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.95 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 30c | 7,887$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.7 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 71c | 6,368$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.81 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes | 71c | 5,924$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 31c | 5,000$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 71c | 4,533$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.63 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 30c | 3,774$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.21 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked No | 30c | 3,724$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 30c | 3,682$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.04 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 74c | 3,492$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.66 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 69c | 3,449$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.86 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 26c | 3,442$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.02 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 21c | 3,000$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.02 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked No | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 26c | 3,000$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.84 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 72c | 3,000$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.94 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 27c | 2,995$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.97 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed No | 29c | 2,828$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 27c | 2,703$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.71 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 72c | 2,522$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.43 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 28c | 2,420$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.6 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 10c | 2,382$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.05 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 70c | 2,286$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.75 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Yes | 74c | 2,271$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.53 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +281%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 33c | 2,222$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.26 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed No | 29c | 2,201$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 32c | 2,200$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 29c | 2,145$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.18 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 2,055$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.54 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 70c | 2,007$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.15 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 31c | 2,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.95 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,976$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 72c | 1,752$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.83 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,504$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.16 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 72c | 1,426$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.28 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 73c | 1,403$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.25 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked No | 36c | 1,379$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 5c | 1,368$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed No | 24c | 1,208$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.79 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,126$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.76 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 31c | 1,100$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 29c | 1,041$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.41 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed No | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 28c | 1,003$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.74 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 30c | 949.74$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.92 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 27c | 948.67$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 29c | 943$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.47 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Yes | 71c | 935.49$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.09 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 15c | 869.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 66c | 807.98$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.76 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed Yes | 71c | 803.01$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed No | 29c | 799.97$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 27c | 739.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7f87backed No | 5c | 710$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed No | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 71c | 698.49$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.99 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed No | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 29c | 613.66$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 68c | 600$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 23c | 599.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked No | 23c | 599.95$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 7c | 564.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 154 | 38.3%59 W · 95 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed No | 29c | 555$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 27c | 530$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed No | 15c | 523.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed No | 28c | 500$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 71c | 491.55$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 14c | 469.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…cfeebacked Yes | 67c | 453.52$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 29c | 453.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…9a6fbacked Yes | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 5c | 441.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 28c | 426.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. PSV end in a draw?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.