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Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$594,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$531,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes13c100,721$13,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,128.5810631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes16c50,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes11c40,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.9914235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0049…3a9abacked Yes10c28,340$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,735.850%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes4c16,862$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.3129238%111 W · 181 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes11c13,962$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.811030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes12c10,599$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.8819028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…e4c8backed Yes11c10,544$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick4cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes15c9,857$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00af…626bbacked Yes13c9,000$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.3740%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf401…5cacbacked Yes0c7,124$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.311050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes0c7,044$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.046839.7%27 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes1c5,575$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5143427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes14c4,803$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.374238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes15c4,795$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.8240222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes14c3,485$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.8338043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1590…5721backed Yes13c3,223$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes13c3,167$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.745433.3%18 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Yes13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+157.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Yes12c3,000$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-80.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Yes2c2,898$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.03714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid+58.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes15c2,889$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.749332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes12c2,646$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.533020%6 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e3febacked Yes11c2,639$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.32922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…722cbacked Yes4c2,590$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Yes16c2,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.850%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes13c2,334$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.71729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+90.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes12c2,308$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2775630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes14c2,301$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.3329846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes16c2,133$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.387934.2%27 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd1…62b0backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd507…9b56backed Yes3c1,932$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.851225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+70.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes11c1,908$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.88922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc238…9164backed Yes11c1,885$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes12c1,885$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes1c1,833$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.831442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes13c1,808$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2425228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa277…14b5backed Yes5c1,797$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3635…053abacked Yes1c1,542$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.642339.1%9 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick20cpaid+110.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0501…7f87backed Yes1c1,482$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7652…c6c5backed Yes13c1,334$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.37922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc126…26c6backed Yes12c1,333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes9c1,258$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115608.3%5 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…f5e5backed Yes1c1,194$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d0…6934backed Yes4c1,125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.922334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+60.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes2c1,078$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3816137.9%61 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes13c1,032$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307656.6%43 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes11c1,003$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.923828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+68.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4cf…a9acbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602429.2%7 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+79.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012638.1%48 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes11c991.7$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.654827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes12c945.83$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.55115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa25b…1220backed Yes11c933.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes13c899.46$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…15a0backed Yes6c892.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…6b99backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+70.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes10c766.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.46837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes12c738.86$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.661145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+74.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f9…4ed3backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7d…dad1backed Yes16c692.38$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes13c692.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes15c684.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7513927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2d…b7cdbacked Yes12c570$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ce…418cbacked Yes6c561.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.671346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes11c560$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.29230.4%28 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x950e…3a2cbacked Yes13c556.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+258.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes12c553.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.43633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Yes2c550$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4756…b0e8backed Yes9c547.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc195…ed64backed Yes4c462.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+161.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick33cpaid+124.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6dec…be12backed Yes6c439.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285228.8%15 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes11c427.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710729%31 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506839.7%27 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a74…9fedbacked Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8e…0f91backed Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9315…a73fbacked Yes12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83bf…c05cbacked Yes12c391.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.