TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0739…15a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 60 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2532%8 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$13.95
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+36.7%+$8.69
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$33.2
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.69
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.3
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$26.66
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$409.78
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$81.92
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+43.8%+$19.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$34.13
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.65
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36.55
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$27
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.33
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+80.3%+$38.3
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+489.7%+$73.46
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+165.1%+$57.79
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+247%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.83
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$304.13
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.7%+$67.17
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$72.74
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$53.49
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.06
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$25.67
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+2,637.3%+$325.44
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+116.1%+$220.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick15cpaid+504.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$54
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+356.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+356.5%+$124.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs VARREL - Map 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.