Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-01-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4fc4bd897c6c903003df1c08359e2ee1a76e115326dfddefc6ca7e004774401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 3,389$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 39c | 1,499$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.51 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 59c | 1,215$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.29 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 888.09$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.74 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 61c | 655.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.63 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 593.56$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.93 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 520.94$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.43 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 289.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 267.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 60c | 142.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 15cpaid | +504.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Yes | 37c | 82.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 43c | 57.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 42.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 38c | 39.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 31c | 36.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 36c | 28.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-01-19?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-01-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.