Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: DRX vs VARREL - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09e5a7ba330f6d0b504fbdeeb54ed2da005810e53a9df7e54e625936ec03943c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VARRELof DRX, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VARREL | 39c | 507.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.46 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed VARREL | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed VARREL | 36c | 499.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed DRX | 56c | 397.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed VARREL | 38c | 230.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed DRX | 76c | 134.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked DRX | 53c | 125$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked DRX | 76c | 120$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked DRX | 58c | 119.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…73babacked DRX | 41c | 101.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed DRX | 62c | 99.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed DRX | 68c | 72.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked VARREL | 32c | 72.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed VARREL | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed DRX | 61c | 32.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: DRX vs VARREL - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: DRX (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)VARREL won
- Valorant: DRX vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsDRX won
- Valorant: DRX vs VARREL - Map 2 WinnerDRX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.