TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DRX vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DRXof DRX, VARREL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,245 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked VARREL34c54,697$18,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,735.317236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed VARREL32c52,415$16,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,971.0534356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed DRX68c30,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6001758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked DRX68c25,894$17,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,342.9619046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed VARREL32c25,493$8,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,152.983435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed DRX69c20,350$14,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,288.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed DRX68c19,853$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,352.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed DRX67c18,888$12,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,233.0433942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed VARREL32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.992250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed VARREL32c8,822$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.024647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked VARREL16c7,721$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.393246.9%15 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed VARREL32c4,919$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5743444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked VARREL33c4,260$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.7226738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked DRX68c3,411$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.523754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed DRX71c3,000$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8605048%24 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked DRX68c2,501$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.3233753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked DRX66c2,388$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.974535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed DRX67c2,305$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.331936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked DRX73c2,300$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62119157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed DRX64c2,279$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.0141537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x665b…73babacked DRX54c2,247$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed DRX68c2,059$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.821040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed DRX68c1,766$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.0812138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked DRX66c1,638$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.928746%40 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed DRX68c1,513$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.52060%12 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed DRX68c1,449$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.533857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa340…409bbacked DRX68c1,298$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked DRX66c1,212$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.129052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed DRX68c1,201$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.171154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed VARREL33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39616142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed DRX67c1,193$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.944630.4%14 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed DRX68c1,111$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.527052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed DRX68c1,087$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.886256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed VARREL33c1,016$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.448438.1%32 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed VARREL31c1,015$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6528548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed VARREL33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33013642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked DRX68c1,000$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32516639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked DRX64c979$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5211433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DRX66c932$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.3893148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b0…df70backed DRX68c807.35$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.351457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed DRX68c747.5$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.26847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed DRX69c738$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.783748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed VARREL25c708.84$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5726634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked DRX68c672.06$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.062152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed DRX68c670.59$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.593938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x691b…fce0backed VARREL32c650$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed DRX50c638.97$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.374330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed DRX64c607$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.376647%31 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked VARREL20c540$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed DRX65c530$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.53759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DRX73c523.7$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.441,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed DRX66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+117.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b0…5e03backed DRX70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed DRX58c495.98$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.156457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed DRX74c470$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL27c452.47$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9288844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…608dbacked DRX66c443.94$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e0…ccb5backed DRX70c422.81$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ca…eb95backed VARREL9c417.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed DRX65c415.38$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.386167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa770…c45cbacked DRX68c414.49$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a3…60a2backed VARREL33c409.95$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed VARREL13c403.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb12f…0fb0backed DRX77c403.27$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b45…d5f4backed DRX68c373.54$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.531040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02e…8fb2backed DRX66c315$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa918…8d4bbacked DRX66c304.6$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.56757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed DRX66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0312151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed VARREL32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9612745.7%58 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed VARREL52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed VARREL34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed DRX68c283.82$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8234253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed DRX66c280$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3717…b35bbacked VARREL34c279.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed DRX64c278.72$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7514957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed VARREL22c276.41$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.722035%7 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad63…fc1dbacked DRX67c276.12$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed VARREL29c265.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.738234.1%28 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed VARREL39c264.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7679650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked DRX65c252.31$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3125843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc5…b698backed VARREL41c243.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed DRX67c240$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+82.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DRX66c234.06$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.011,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa44f…9b48backed DRX66c222.85$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…2d66backed DRX64c222.31$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78fa…bbcebacked DRX66c218.18$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed VARREL30c215$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed DRX68c200$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked DRX70c195.08$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed VARREL30c194.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5814252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked DRX68c194.12$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1223548.5%114 W · 121 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed VARREL33c185.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked DRX68c183.24$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6436138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed DRX77c181.82$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.827762.3%48 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed VARREL34c180.8$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.21827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked DRX66c179.9$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1717543.4%76 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba63…a30ebacked DRX68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c8…a78ebacked VARREL30c175.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e53…5c9dbacked DRX69c170.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.446671.2%47 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed VARREL32c167.65$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.44825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.