Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fffb811a670f07ef5cd446a325f780f63aa8825f0ec470a120dcb6c8887fedf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 54,665$17,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,787.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 72c | 23,974$17,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.07 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes | 69c | 19,714$13,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,123.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 12,757$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,374.06 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked No | 32c | 4,651$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 50c | 4,048$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 36c | 3,308$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.94 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,589$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.54 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,477$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 34c | 2,383$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 41c | 2,339$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.35 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed No | 73c | 2,073$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,926$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.95 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 5c | 1,757$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.12 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 66c | 1,653$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 34c | 1,600$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.7 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,589$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.58 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked No | 51c | 1,500$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed No | 76c | 1,491$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.79 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 50c | 1,395$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…00ebbacked Yes | 44c | 1,367$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 17c | 1,298$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.82 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 1,264$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.31 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 65c | 1,066$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.76 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…dc99backed Yes | 79c | 1,060$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…5602backed No | 71c | 1,000$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +605.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Yes | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +169.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 34c | 968.81$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.88 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 25c | 967.08$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.09 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Yes | 69c | 901.54$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.13 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Yes | 69c | 864.88$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 71c | 861.38$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 33c | 830$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.1 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 63c | 829.29$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.31 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 31c | 764$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 6c | 699.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 14c | 695.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed No | 52c | 694.19$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 70c | 666$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed No | 19c | 621.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 74c | 595.37$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 588.87$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.52 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 51c | 550$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…0450backed Yes | 43c | 519.76$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…29d4backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 66c | 451.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 19c | 446.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 60c | 418.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed No | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 63c | 400$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 32c | 396.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 63c | 364.2$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…f4ffbacked Yes | 55c | 364.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…1bb8backed No | 32c | 360.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed Yes | 7c | 320$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 15cpaid | +504.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…9205backed Yes | 72c | 319.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…c39bbacked No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Yes | 6c | 309.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 58c | 299.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 35c | 294.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…2d63backed No | 47c | 288.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 72c | 287.76$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed No | 50c | 278.72$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 54c | 276.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Yes | 70c | 271.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes | 18c | 270$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…118bbacked No | 80c | 250.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 65c | 234.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf037…6f44backed Yes | 73c | 215.91$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…3519backed No | 42c | 210.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 46c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 54c | 199.28$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Yes | 7c | 194$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 7c | 194$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 77c | 187.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…4dfbbacked Yes | 34c | 182.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…ed92backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 167.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked No | 31c | 163.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 70c | 156.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…e753backed No | 76c | 155.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 154.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…04afbacked Yes | 72c | 154$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked No | 55c | 145.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed Yes | 76c | 143.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.