TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79f2…118b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$35.26
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$57.95
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Will Benin win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$64.74
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$53.31
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$66.05
Will Belarus win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+50.2%+$125.38
Will Greece win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$31.11
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$49.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+163.2%+$264.32
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$110.96
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+133.4%+$233.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$189.82
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$44.93
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$31
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$26.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$15.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$75
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$137
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+39.2%+$19.58
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$153.23
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$365
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$140.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$99.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.