TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes68c60,000$40,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,199.9821237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No32c36,381$11,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,642.053951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c10,635$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6165536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No31c6,152$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.7884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.092733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No29c3,312$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.013,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No34c3,016$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.5910360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes70c3,001$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.692152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No1c1,876$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No14c1,626$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4652243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No23c1,592$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9242844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c1,310$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.892,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No32c1,297$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9333847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes68c1,219$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9933055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.035545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes66c972.14$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.184639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed No34c735.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes70c718.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.469954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes67c676.89$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.374254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No30c566.85$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.052931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2410757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No21c499.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.54420.5%9 W · 35 L-11.8wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c426.47$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.948545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes65c399.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No29c352.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.758658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No33c336.44$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.023046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No35c325.86$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.053138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes69c303$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1719934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes68c299.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9615459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Yes69c290.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.931361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79f2…118bbacked Yes79c258.23$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.234100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No34c253.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.047550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes66c252.83$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.96977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes69c240.58$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.584443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes73c205.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.111855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No34c200.02$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.342133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked No32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.432142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed No40c153.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No40c152.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.036033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No30c149.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.046513.8%9 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes65c131.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8815846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes69c120.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.292937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No34c120.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3111644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Yes68c118.43$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.025151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.651553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2910761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Yes67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.941650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No33c106.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.36753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No42c104.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.924042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5427…bb86backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes79c88.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.191877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55be…a73abacked Yes69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes66c83.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.252245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes77c82.14$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.251723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed No36c68.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa823…851fbacked Yes68c66.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.04633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes78c63.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c41…18edbacked Yes68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed No22c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked No33c51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.832128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes79c50.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6410963.3%69 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b03…ff9dbacked Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked No38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes69c49.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No33c46.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4211843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.884141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fe…025cbacked Yes67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No32c41.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3636136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…3113backed Yes69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.234065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes64c34.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.642630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…58b0backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411643.8%7 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.998543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc133…81ebbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes62c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.88875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Yes62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.121060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02aa…9c2abacked Yes66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.731675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Yes68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Yes58c17.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Yes67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.281050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Yes67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.