Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a319fe72a760a9b36e886a59d6a34fbee13fe3e69187341e42e45c70d01ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 9,124$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 6,983$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 51c | 6,949$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 13c | 3,223$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 3,215$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.33 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,948$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.1 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 2,506$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.89 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 2,466$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.15 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 2,458$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.96 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 46c | 2,142$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 1,816$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.61 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 23c | 1,728$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 17c | 1,513$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.06 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 47c | 1,444$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.55 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,441$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.96 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 44c | 1,141$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 35c | 1,086$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 973.89$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 31c | 968.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 54c | 966$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.36 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 51c | 878.97$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.52 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 32c | 794.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 785$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.26 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked Yes | 47c | 729.78$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…b77ebacked Yes | 41c | 724.66$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 15c | 654.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 633.16$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.93 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 58c | 598.02$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.11 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 597.65$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 14c | 574.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 22c | 557.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 66c | 532.48$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 44c | 488.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 50c | 485.31$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes | 36c | 414.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 57c | 413.36$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 35c | 394.91$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 25c | 394.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 59c | 342$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 336.09$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 45c | 334$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…845fbacked Yes | 44c | 322.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…0e18backed Yes | 50c | 314.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 28c | 295.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…56f2backed Yes | 46c | 291.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 53c | 284.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 37c | 270.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 75c | 264.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 72c | 262.17$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 37c | 255.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786e…a308backed Yes | 45c | 250.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…e1d9backed Yes | 46c | 247.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 60c | 246.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 37c | 244.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8913…baa0backed Yes | 21c | 239.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…37bcbacked Yes | 46c | 236.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 55c | 231.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…fea7backed Yes | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 49c | 225.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…dcdebacked Yes | 46c | 223.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…d7d0backed Yes | 45c | 220.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…169cbacked Yes | 46c | 219.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…0fd8backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…38cdbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Yes | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…0f2dbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…528fbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed No | 55c | 182.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +146%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 47c | 181.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Yes | 45c | 174.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 44c | 172$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…8b7cbacked Yes | 47c | 164.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 156.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 45c | 156$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…118bbacked Yes | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 21c | 144.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…e502backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…c7f3backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Yes | 46c | 132.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…0930backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 45c | 127$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will SC Braga vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.