Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belarus win on 2025-11-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6983c9d5ddda9ea22bf9e2eb12a94cc03d7ebf759a57516f66c80c1c1db3ffab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 2c | 19,795$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.75 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 1c | 7,472$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 3c | 7,165$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 5,574$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.17 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed Yes | 2c | 4,215$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 23c | 3,554$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 8c | 3,306$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.85 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 64c | 3,044$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.89 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,666$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.26 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 2,149$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.66 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,838$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 42c | 1,699$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.27 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 1c | 1,364$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 2c | 1,207$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 1,125$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.19 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 2c | 999.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 36c | 992.86$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.08 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 2c | 974.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Yes | 2c | 923.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +919.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 2c | 868.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 26c | 814.2$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392b…29d5backed Yes | 41c | 732.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…f60dbacked Yes | 3c | 683.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 67c | 672.12$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 33c | 607.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Yes | 3c | 459.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed No | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 64c | 429.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 36c | 381.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…118bbacked No | 67c | 375.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 66c | 367.28$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…9761backed No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…7fc9backed Yes | 44c | 290.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 36c | 279.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed No | 67c | 250.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 34c | 228.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 10c | 179.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…9d99backed Yes | 35c | 167.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 67c | 149.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7019…dcefbacked No | 69c | 148.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5385…6bf3backed Yes | 38c | 92.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 46c | 87.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed No | 60c | 77.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 36c | 55.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…ad51backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 42c | 37.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked No | 58c | 34.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 69c | 33.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 67c | 32.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…5b8fbacked Yes | 39c | 31.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belarus win on 2025-11-15?this page
- Will Denmark vs. Belarus end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.