Fifa International · resolved market
Will Denmark vs. Belarus end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d051f62ce807b91af115108460c8684fd423df00163e46a370477b4e0e186b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 6,994$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,226$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.89 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…f486backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 5c | 2,670$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.87 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 2,420$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 2,113$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.43 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 54c | 2,101$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.36 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 30c | 1,753$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.2 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 56c | 1,561$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Yes | 6c | 1,232$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 75c | 1,219$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 54c | 1,107$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.81 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 70c | 907.37$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 903.16$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.03 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 890$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.82 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 7c | 712.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.07 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 5c | 661.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.04 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…ceffbacked Yes | 2c | 646$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +350.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 66c | 570.98$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 6c | 548.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.12 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Yes | 4c | 539.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +919.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…a4eebacked Yes | 66c | 456.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeac…b326backed Yes | 52c | 445.42$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 6c | 425.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.13 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.99 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 51c | 393.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.26 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 369$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 5c | 349.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.21 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 346.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.03 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 4c | 341$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 7c | 317.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 38c | 264.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 70c | 211.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 37c | 203.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 72c | 201$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392b…29d5backed Yes | 54c | 168.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 33c | 135.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…a457backed Yes | 48c | 110.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes | 48c | 106.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…e2f4backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 48c | 91.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Yes | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 78.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 68c | 78.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed No | 55c | 65.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 64.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 36c | 59.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 45c | 58.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…0c27backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…5254backed Yes | 65c | 36.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…5593backed Yes | 79c | 31.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 65c | 24.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 20.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…66a8backed Yes | 76c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 70c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 79c | 16.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark vs. Belarus end in a draw?this page
- Will Belarus win on 2025-11-15?No won
- Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.