TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34e5…7dd4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST5850%29 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$49.21
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$38.68
Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$429.48
Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$171.97
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$81.85
Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.11
Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$859.42
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$220.5
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$487.47
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$309.95
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$305.46
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55.73
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+27.4%+$34.64
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.07
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$117.19
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$294.35
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$630.73
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$243.38
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,078Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+37.3%+$775.24
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+25%+$14.8
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$43.48
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$110.53
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$38.07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$59.35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+157.7%+$197.36
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$349.9
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+409.3%+$286.49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+43.4%+$8.67
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+27.4%+$181.77
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$113.43
Will Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$17.21
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25.7%+$340.66
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.7%+$142.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$13.04
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$80.59
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$70.68
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.38
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25%+$16.39
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.1%+$104.81
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$18.04
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.74
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.9%+$129.56
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+28.1%+$103.25
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$269.23
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+27.3%+$44.17
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$79.21
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+25%+$35.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,007.59
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$999.91
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+52.9%+$351.55
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$54.7
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$319.72
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25.8%+$96.87
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$185.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+121.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$314.64
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+197.4%+$196.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$89.43
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$998.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$106.67
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$807.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$343.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$65.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$67.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.