NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7bb62471f21be72e4c8fecdbcb263d1a644dc0b83172a29e2a599fa305b5b79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Bruins, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Ducks | 61c | 90,003$54,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,101.22 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Bruins | 38c | 28,671$10,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,895.1 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 61c | 25,010$15,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,690.7 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Bruins | 22c | 19,148$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 77c | 16,040$12,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.34 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bruins | 39c | 13,317$5,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bruins | 39c | 12,654$4,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.05 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bruins | 39c | 11,995$4,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670.49 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bruins | 42c | 10,000$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks | 61c | 8,949$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.2 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bruins | 39c | 8,469$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.35 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Bruins | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Ducks | 64c | 7,663$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.29 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bruins | 39c | 7,126$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.63 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bruins | 24c | 6,575$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed Bruins | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bruins | 38c | 5,847$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Bruins | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bruins | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 79c | 4,844$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.19 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ducks | 79c | 4,763$3,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.45 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Ducks | 62c | 4,570$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bruins | 23c | 3,752$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.22 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Ducks | 61c | 3,550$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.61 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Bruins | 39c | 3,545$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.65 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Bruins | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bruins | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.96 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Bruins | 38c | 2,984$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 77c | 2,970$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.13 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bruins | 25c | 2,837$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks | 61c | 2,725$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.56 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Bruins | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruins | 37c | 2,307$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.66 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Bruins | 28c | 2,145$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bruins | 28c | 2,034$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.3 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Bruins | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.97 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 40c | 1,927$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.55 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Bruins | 40c | 1,887$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.2 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Bruins | 40c | 1,815$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Bruins | 41c | 1,793$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.12 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bruins | 38c | 1,788$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.59 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bruins | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bruins | 39c | 1,550$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.5 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…117ebacked Bruins | 26c | 1,519$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bruins | 47c | 1,450$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.6 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bruins | 39c | 1,418$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.92 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Bruins | 39c | 1,408$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.15 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bruins | 21c | 1,261$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.93 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Ducks | 58c | 1,155$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.96 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bruins | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…4ad4backed Bruins | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…3ba3backed Ducks | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…0b56backed Bruins | 39c | 1,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Bruins | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bruins | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bruins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Bruins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…1088backed Bruins | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…46b5backed Ducks | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bruins | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Ducks | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…6961backed Bruins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Bruins | 39c | 990$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…951dbacked Ducks | 61c | 983.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Bruins | 40c | 917.05$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…6dffbacked Ducks | 63c | 914.29$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Bruins | 38c | 913.16$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bruins | 39c | 896.93$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bruins | 39c | 890.63$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.05 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Bruins | 11c | 880.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d720backed Ducks | 62c | 880$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…4596backed Bruins | 39c | 879.49$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 52c | 854.83$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.32 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bruins | 18c | 852.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Bruins | 28c | 820$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 22c | 796.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…7743backed Bruins | 39c | 790$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Bruins | 38c | 763.16$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed Bruins | 17c | 757.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bruins | 38c | 749.96$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…1fe9backed Ducks | 62c | 740$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…74c1backed Bruins | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Bruins | 9c | 699.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bruins | 32c | 647.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Bruins | 31c | 616.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…fb81backed Ducks | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…625ebacked Ducks | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Ducks | 57c | 600$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a63…de95backed Bruins | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bruins | 21c | 598.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 60c | 591.9$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.76 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bruins | 26c | 588$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ducks | 61c | 581.95$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.96 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Bruins | 38c | 531.08$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133f…d45dbacked Bruins | 37c | 517.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Bruins | 39c | 515$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bruins | 17c | 502.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Ducks | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…19f8backed Ducks | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Ducksthis page
- Bruins vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.