NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbba6d1361ec0079da7dfa0085425ebd76861431ebaf7f1f4a0ab7d14f7df6e7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 53c | 68,018$35,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,770.23 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 20,662$9,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,950.7 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Over | 47c | 14,000$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,420 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 7,903$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.1 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,200$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768.81 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 3,640$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.58 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 50c | 2,815$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.26 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 49c | 2,710$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.84 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 49c | 2,498$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.98 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 47c | 2,106$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.38 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 49c | 1,825$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.75 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Under | 55c | 769.67$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.17 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 45c | 754.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.07 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 48c | 667.46$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.08 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 521.67$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…e4f7backed Under | 53c | 511.02$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 47c | 511.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.84 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 500$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Under | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Over | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 50c | 314.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Over | 50c | 309$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Over | 47c | 212.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…0b36backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked Over | 50c | 85.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52e…0a1cbacked Under | 53c | 79.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 50.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Under | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 34.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 478 | 45.8%219 W · 259 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. DucksDucks won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.