NHL · resolved market
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x552ac129047e7c826542dc5660b553c9dad72eaf2d1a5631b834e392c36b4f86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Ducks, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Bruins | 1c | 2,566$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.32 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 40c | 1,369$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.4 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Ducks | 2c | 1,136$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Ducks | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bruins | 60c | 847$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Bruins | 58c | 600.23$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 11c | 529$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Bruins | 61c | 276.72$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Bruins | 61c | 226$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Ducks | 39c | 224.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bruins | 61c | 209.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Bruins | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Ducks | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Bruins | 60c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bruins | 58c | 98.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Bruins | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Ducks | 39c | 88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Ducks | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Ducks | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Ducks | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Ducks | 39c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1dddbacked Bruins | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Bruins | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks | 37c | 51.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Ducks | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1d…1d22backed Bruins | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…e619backed Ducks | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…bdcdbacked Bruins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Bruins | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Ducks | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Bruins | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…24c8backed Bruins | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…98bebacked Bruins | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. DucksDucks won
- Bruins vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.