TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7227…5285

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
243
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT15146.4%70 W · 81 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.85
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.1
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Penguins vs. Flyers backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.13
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Flyers vs. Flamesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40.99
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40.05
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
49ers vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.53
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+99%+$39.8
Spread: Packers (-4.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$13.6
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Rams vs. Panthers: 1H Moneylinebacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Rams vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+200.2%+$74.03
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+102.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+270.4%+$54.75
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26.09
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24.7
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+566.7%+$85
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.16
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+733.3%+$88
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+37%+$7.56
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.63
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+400%+$56
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+73.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)backed Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.