NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfe9a7a2251a69d60b1371469b12965f55e348f3353ed37b117705866d833522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 8,579$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1246backed Over | 53c | 7,700$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…7c03backed Under | 47c | 7,700$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…0706backed Under | 46c | 7,600$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…309dbacked Over | 54c | 7,600$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a9…676ebacked Under | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…c39bbacked Over | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 3,217$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.2 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…e255backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 60c | 1,822$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 40c | 987.85$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 797.73$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.95 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…7236backed Over | 50c | 612$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 53c | 567$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 46c | 528.93$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.62 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037a…deb4backed Under | 47c | 404$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Over | 54c | 401$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 54c | 398.15$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 357$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…db64backed Over | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 56c | 225$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…512dbacked Over | 54c | 211$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 202.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…8411backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeac…860abacked Over | 54c | 193$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 176.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…6574backed Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 37c | 112.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c1…b4afbacked Under | 36c | 102.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4e67backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b651backed Over | 53c | 95.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…b6aabacked Over | 53c | 80.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…40febacked Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 59c | 64.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…9eccbacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 42c | 43.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…f88ebacked Under | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 57c | 36.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…0cbebacked Under | 50c | 32.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…3ae9backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…f78abacked Over | 53c | 25.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d21cbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b0…fb31backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…7e00backed Over | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5this page
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. ThunderThunder won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.