NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22f98bee3c38a46648a9d1a78f8a0a5847f9924ecbb59931c479cfc010f8a9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Thunder, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Thunder | 51c | 99,988$51,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,470.66 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 48c | 41,100$19,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,168 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Thunder | 49c | 18,983$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 14,900$7,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,002.98 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 10,794$5,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,464.77 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 45c | 9,728$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.22 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 49c | 8,546$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.83 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 7,868$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.83 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Timberwolves | 55c | 6,587$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.15 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Thunder | 49c | 6,417$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.23 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Thunder | 47c | 6,246$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.84 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…0d75backed Timberwolves | 55c | 5,550$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 48c | 4,629$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Thunder | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,685$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.96 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Thunder | 47c | 2,541$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.41 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,181$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 45c | 2,063$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.75 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.91 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,760$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,447$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,298$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.5 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,242$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.38 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 48c | 1,232$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.36 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Timberwolves | 51c | 982.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.35 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Timberwolves | 56c | 971.73$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.56 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 46c | 900$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.52 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 848$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Thunder | 50c | 600.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 463$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 393.58$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 48c | 365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Timberwolves | 58c | 347.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Timberwolves | 58c | 319.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Thunder | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…ebc4backed Thunder | 52c | 216$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Timberwolves | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Timberwolves | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 198.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…f97ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Thunder | 50c | 158$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 46c | 156.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e4…51a1backed Timberwolves | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Thunder | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Thunder | 48c | 106.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Thunder | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Timberwolves | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 99.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Timberwolves | 54c | 93.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Thunder | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 51c | 89.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Timberwolves | 58c | 88.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…74ccbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…601abacked Thunder | 48c | 83.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Timberwolves | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Thunder | 42c | 71.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 58c | 71.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 68.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Thunder | 47c | 67.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 60.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Thunder | 45c | 56.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Timberwolves | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Thunder | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 49.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Thunder | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Timberwolves | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Timberwolves | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Thunder | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Thunder | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…86a5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Thunder | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3f…5bc1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 39.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…5916backed Thunder | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Timberwolves | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked Thunder | 49c | 32.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 31.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 47c | 30.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…4681backed Thunder | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Timberwolves | 58c | 24.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…4316backed Thunder | 49c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)this page
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. ThunderThunder won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.