TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Pacers, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,917,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,022,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,917,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Pacers14c538,022$72,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,923.828022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Pacers13c101,360$12,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,762.594544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Pacers12c62,739$7,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,528.6215443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Pacers11c30,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9919150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Pacers13c23,500$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05548448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers12c22,502$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.1846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Pacers13c20,676$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.2727917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers11c20,500$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pacers13c20,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9834645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65fe…cef1backed Pacers12c17,524$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c14,783$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.638820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Pacers13c12,400$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6128939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers10c11,412$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Pacers3c10,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2656918.8%13 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Pacers12c9,999$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.425925.4%15 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Pacers2c9,629$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Pacers13c9,256$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.3423648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers2c9,179$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers0c9,057$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.447211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers11c9,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers12c8,030$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.5946342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers1c7,652$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.028783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pacers10c7,171$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.41,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pacers13c6,508$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.722,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Pacers13c6,462$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.113250%66 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers2c6,032$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.661,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6c…d4dabacked Pacers12c6,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.993145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48e5…38e0backed Pacers13c5,900$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Pacers10c5,211$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.194729.8%14 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Pacers12c5,077$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.2385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Pacers13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pacers11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9843247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Pacers12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9710041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers7c4,110$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…986ebacked Pacers13c4,100$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e3…8a03backed Pacers13c3,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers3c3,491$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.11,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf548…9484backed Pacers13c3,418$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.36425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Pacers12c3,417$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.511758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Pacers12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Pacers12c2,900$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34816730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers15c2,637$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.5235547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Pacers14c2,576$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.4825753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers11c2,528$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.2747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd005…f2c5backed Pacers11c2,380$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pacers14c2,347$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.726038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Pacers13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers1c2,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pacers1c2,100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Pacers13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Pacers12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Pacers13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Pacers14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Pacers11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pacers12c1,969$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.331,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Pacers8c1,944$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.17640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Pacers13c1,923$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Pacers3c1,885$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d75…cbbdbacked Pacers13c1,840$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6532…2fc8backed Pacers13c1,785$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd3…d500backed Pacers10c1,780$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pacers13c1,600$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers15c1,537$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.95,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers13c1,500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Pacers12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18017931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Pacers12c1,413$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.261,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pacers1c1,329$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1867911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Pacers11c1,299$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8940035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Pacers5c1,250$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.542640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa8…7ea2backed Pacers14c1,240$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6234554.8%189 W · 156 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08eb…aaa8backed Pacers13c1,239$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90c…0d37backed Pacers13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ac…ebacbacked Pacers9c1,194$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers11c1,158$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.392,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5b…1c2bbacked Pacers2c1,145$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers12c1,119$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.313,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Pacers15c1,104$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6313339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Pacers14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.929726.8%26 W · 71 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Pacers12c1,048$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13016045%72 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda40…5eddbacked Pacers13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0150%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Pacers1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd8…6203backed Pacers13c999.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258650%43 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Pacers13c999.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf85…acc4backed Pacers10c999.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+57.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Pacers12c999.64$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9318239%71 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Pacers13c998.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5328842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2b…573cbacked Pacers12c960$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.250%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66cb…e8ffbacked Pacers1c949.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+68.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pacers13c936.65$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4460834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0327…92f2backed Pacers13c846.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Pacers12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da7…8d0fbacked Pacers12c815.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.911428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Pacers12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610151.5%52 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Pacers6c778.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456055%33 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9240…a7c7backed Pacers13c777$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…f65cbacked Pacers12c772.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.681233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Pacers13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…3030backed Pacers13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.