NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x174a438319c30767d98c4557694d85aa43f7c159f31a0ce8f00d3479211060d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 56c | 4,356$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.21 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.48 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Over | 57c | 2,191$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.06 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 1,870$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 57c | 1,809$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.13 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,022$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 38c | 280.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 44c | 214.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 59c | 188$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Over | 56c | 177.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 59c | 136$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Over | 59c | 136$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 40c | 99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Under | 45c | 97.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Over | 61c | 97.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…a93fbacked Over | 58c | 89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…025dbacked Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 41c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…dfa3backed Under | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 57c | 45.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 61c | 32.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…d9f7backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…7fe3backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Over | 58c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Pacers won
- Pacers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.