TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1feb…bdc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
269
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST8030%24 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+614.3%+$172
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+669.2%+$78.3
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$109.13
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$134.89
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$90.52
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$33.85
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$112.2
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$191.43
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$110
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$34.5
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+29.9%+$31.74
Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92%+$93.82
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$117.5
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$116.1
Timberwolves vs. Suns: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$153.08
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$114
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+89.3%+$113.2
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+68.1%+$167.67
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST5341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Flames vs. Hurricanesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Sharks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Canadiens vs. Avalanchebacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Flyers vs. Starsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+205.1%+$273.57
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+669.2%+$87
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$143.89
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+212.5%+$68
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$51.45
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$62
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+257.1%+$29
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$162.72
Will SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+376.2%+$79
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$36
SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$67.1
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST2218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$29.14
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$48.19
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+809.1%+$89
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.04
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$46.71
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$70.28
Sunderland AFC vs. Everton: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.95
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$277.99
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$59.16
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Nuno Borgesbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.98
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.23
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$57.3
Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Ivan Ivanovbacked Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.73
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+181.4%+$75.8
Open de Moselle: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+334.8%+$84.4
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+143.9%+$77.73
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.64
Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+222.6%+$140
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST150%0 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30.65
North Dakota State Bison vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Montana State Bobcats vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Towson Tigers vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Duke Blue Devils vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Samford Bulldogs vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Northern Illinois Huskiesbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Navy Midshipmen vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Presbyterian Blue Hose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Marist Red Foxes vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.11
James Madison Dukes vs. Akron Zipsbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Drake Bulldogs vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacksbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$176.7
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$57.69
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+455.6%+$232.27
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+159.3%+$125.95
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$112.75
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$85.3
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122%+$112.65
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+169.6%+$66.05
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
49ers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$43
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.17
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$233.66
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$323.67
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$227.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$117.99
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.85
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$256.96
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.23
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will SC Recife vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.11
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will CA Huracán win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35.2
Will CF Pachuca win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35.52
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+270.4%+$146
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Alabamabacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.87
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33
UMass vs. Akronbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ILT20: Sharjah Warriorz vs Gulf Giants (Game 1)backed Gulf Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.