Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d2a7d65dac00f40c23a4894df150988485acefdef4bf15e6f8e367a572f4091
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 3,344$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 2,417$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.63 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 5c | 1,048$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 5c | 600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Under | 7c | 600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 57c | 260$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 46c | 212.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 54c | 180.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 57c | 180$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 56c | 157$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 56c | 135$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 56c | 124$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 56c | 111$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 56c | 96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 56c | 91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 56c | 84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 56c | 83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Over | 45c | 82.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 57c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 56c | 66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 56c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 44c | 28.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.