TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,145 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85df…9124backed Under1c1,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Under3c1,100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c921$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.956,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under42c571.88$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.032,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under22c526$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5511727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under30c220$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under29c209$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.613450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under29c171$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.323850%19 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under30c158$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under30c151$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.34341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under30c149$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.142454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under29c143$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.474148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under22c120$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.789152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under29c117$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.13053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under30c116$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.84949%24 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under30c105$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Under27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.811420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under30c91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over66c82.41$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3540150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Over70c77$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under30c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44637%17 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over71c67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Over71c66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under29c62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.981947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Over70c61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.172556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under30c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under29c54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.663650%18 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under30c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Over70c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under30c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under30c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over71c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over70c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22055%11 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Under30c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under30c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65650%28 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over70c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Over70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Over71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Over71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.271968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Over71c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.572259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Over70c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed Over70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Over71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Over70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Over70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92185.7%18 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ee…f2d4backed Over70c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Over70c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Over71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.122166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked Over71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.121040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Over70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed Over70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed Over70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over67c27.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.161,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Over70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Over70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Over70c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over70c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over71c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.622250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Over71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.252661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480a…e3c9backed Over71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.251154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Over71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Over71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over70c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Over71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Over71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Over71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Over71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb990…3d1cbacked Over71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Over70c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61275%9 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Over71c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over71c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9255…87a4backed Over70c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick64cpaid+49.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Over71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Over71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Over70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+43.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed Over71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-48.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e26…c672backed Over70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.9wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Over70c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.71258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Over70c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.71573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Over70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Over70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Over70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…92cbbacked Over70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-48.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Over71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.931560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked Over70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Over70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed Over70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed Over70c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Over70c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over70c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.