NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6890e8291f308f56261526731dd22a622005e04bb4d120cf367fde90acfcb7cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Magic | 51c | 88,396$45,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,475.09 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Celtics | 49c | 20,400$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,404 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Celtics | 50c | 20,006$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,005.51 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…4a2ebacked Magic | 50c | 19,600$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 51c | 16,120$8,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,968.72 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 49c | 14,133$6,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,252.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Celtics | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 48c | 9,952$4,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Magic | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 50c | 5,830$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 50c | 5,394$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.89 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Celtics | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 49c | 3,939$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 50c | 3,393$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.54 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 51c | 3,388$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Magic | 50c | 3,213$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.45 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 51c | 2,650$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 50c | 2,287$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.57 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Celtics | 49c | 2,005$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.55 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 49c | 2,000$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Magic | 50c | 1,989$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.35 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,950$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Celtics | 51c | 1,336$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.69 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 66c | 1,236$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 48c | 1,099$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.48 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Celtics | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Celtics | 55c | 902.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.14 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 49c | 754.03$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.29 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 46c | 722.11$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Magic | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Celtics | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Magic | 49c | 406.66$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Magic | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Magic | 33c | 375$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Magic | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Celtics | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Celtics | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Magic | 49c | 268.78$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Magic | 50c | 268.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Magic | 34c | 222$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Magic | 51c | 218.78$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Celtics | 50c | 216.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Magic | 50c | 200.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Celtics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Magic | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Celtics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Magic | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Magic | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Magic | 51c | 197.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Magic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Magic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Magic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…74ccbacked Magic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Magic | 51c | 147.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Magic | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Magic | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a145backed Celtics | 50c | 102.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Magic | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Magic | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Celtics | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…4505backed Magic | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Magic | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Magic | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 49c | 71.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Celtics | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Magic | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Celtics | 49c | 51.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Magic | 49c | 50.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Magic | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…2f0bbacked Magic | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Magic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Magic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Magic | 50c | 39.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Magic | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…bd17backed Celtics | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8a…0e34backed Magic | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Magic | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Magic | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaba…ba7cbacked Magic | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Magic | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Magic | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Celtics | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 210 | 62.9%132 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Magic | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Celtics | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Celtics | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Magic | 51c | 27.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9365…1389backed Magic | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…18e3backed Magic | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)this page
- Magic vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.