NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20efcbca24514e2afc8f297f2567a83fef1f74aedc010338787f2ed1a2284d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd29c…d4efbacked Under | 48c | 5,100$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Over | 52c | 5,100$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc782…70eabacked Over | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…abbdbacked Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Over | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 2,942$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 57c | 2,616$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.45 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…9435backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…92f4backed Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 1,882$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.64 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…1424backed Under | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Over | 56c | 678.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 55c | 545.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 9c | 545$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…11f4backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Over | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Over | 56c | 250.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd405…3b78backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554c…6c37backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…6a68backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d7…f336backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…c141backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa585…e5c8backed Under | 49c | 181.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…2d01backed Under | 49c | 181.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd38…f2d3backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f31…2c4ebacked Over | 57c | 176.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 58c | 155$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…e799backed Over | 51c | 143.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 132.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 132$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 57c | 121.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 58c | 103.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Over | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 41c | 93.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Over | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf717…7323backed Over | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Over | 52c | 69.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…f769backed Over | 58c | 52.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 44c | 51.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 45c | 46.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…2f0bbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…17abbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…18edbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…3ea8backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…16d3backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…8f31backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 252 | 47.2%119 W · 133 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d21cbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…c99fbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…806dbacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…4b15backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…5cbbbacked Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94db…26bbbacked Over | 58c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…dfa3backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…3ae9backed Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5this page
- Magic vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.