NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768960a0459400b5fd0ebd04980778fa3079e538763394f80fabc5a271cd3e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Magic, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,000,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $908,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,000,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 691 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Magic | 38c | 74,758$28,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,712.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 10c | 41,911$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.22 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 62c | 41,861$25,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,941.77 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Celtics | 63c | 39,538$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,537.64 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 32,805$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Magic | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,099.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Magic | 39c | 28,915$11,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,308.51 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Magic | 38c | 26,291$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 37c | 25,452$9,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,517.23 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Celtics | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Celtics | 62c | 23,456$14,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,913.24 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Magic | 37c | 23,455$8,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,678.33 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 38c | 22,868$8,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,739.69 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Magic | 9c | 22,696$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.92 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Magic | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.97 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 63c | 19,452$12,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,210.15 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Magic | 24c | 18,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 0c | 16,453$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Magic | 37c | 15,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Celtics | 62c | 15,000$9,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,649.98 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 1c | 14,495$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Magic | 10c | 12,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Celtics | 61c | 11,944$7,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 13c | 11,358$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Celtics | 62c | 11,227$6,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.26 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…b7ccbacked Celtics | 62c | 10,200$6,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 4c | 10,168$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.86 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Celtics | 62c | 10,046$6,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.77 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 64c | 9,067$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.61 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 1c | 8,404$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 9c | 7,921$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.26 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics | 63c | 7,830$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.1 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Celtics | 62c | 6,617$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.39 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Celtics | 62c | 6,430$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.4 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Magic | 38c | 6,319$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.22 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 76c | 6,311$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Magic | 27c | 6,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 3c | 5,869$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.03 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Magic | 37c | 5,622$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.82 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 61c | 5,542$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.01 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…a8b4backed Magic | 37c | 5,319$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248f…11abbacked Celtics | 62c | 5,226$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…89b9backed Magic | 38c | 5,217$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Celtics | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Celtics | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Celtics | 62c | 5,000$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.03 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 8c | 4,993$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.43 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Magic | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 39c | 4,500$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.95 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 62c | 4,478$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Magic | 15c | 4,443$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.91 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 4,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Celtics | 62c | 4,220$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…a73ebacked Magic | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 3c | 3,804$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 21c | 3,605$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.75 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Celtics | 62c | 3,285$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.33 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…02c6backed Magic | 1c | 3,265$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…ec76backed Magic | 38c | 3,200$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc99…2b6bbacked Celtics | 63c | 3,048$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Magic | 38c | 3,025$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.33 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Celtics | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Magic | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 71c | 2,921$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 36c | 2,850$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 1c | 2,670$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Magic | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 16c | 2,592$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Magic | 15c | 2,586$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 36c | 2,545$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.22 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Magic | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 10c | 2,499$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Celtics | 62c | 2,455$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.16 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 2c | 2,338$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…5275backed Magic | 11c | 2,277$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…3655backed Celtics | 63c | 2,270$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 62c | 2,099$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.7 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…d161backed Celtics | 64c | 2,063$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 39c | 2,050$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Celtics | 63c | 2,005$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.68 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Celtics | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Magic | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Magic | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Celtics | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 70c | 1,960$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 23c | 1,932$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.45 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Magic | 38c | 1,916$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 37c | 1,914$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.17 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…808dbacked Celtics | 62c | 1,900$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…0789backed Magic | 38c | 1,900$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…e286backed Magic | 38c | 1,890$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Magic | 38c | 1,868$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4a…9ac4backed Celtics | 62c | 1,840$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 1,787$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…719bbacked Celtics | 67c | 1,785$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 65c | 1,741$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.74 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Celticsthis page
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.