NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeedafccbb6822f644a453172e219abc840850038476d33587cc066c17131f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Canadiens, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Canadiens | 30c | 189,724$57,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,625.78 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Avalanche | 69c | 75,000$51,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,250 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche | 70c | 41,500$29,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,335 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Canadiens | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Canadiens | 29c | 19,856$5,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,758.35 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Avalanche | 70c | 17,755$12,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,326.5 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Avalanche | 71c | 16,200$11,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche | 70c | 15,019$10,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.7 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Avalanche | 70c | 14,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 29c | 11,500$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche | 70c | 8,995$6,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.5 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Avalanche | 70c | 8,533$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.09 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 70c | 6,860$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.04 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Avalanche | 70c | 5,025$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Avalanche | 71c | 4,500$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Avalanche | 70c | 4,457$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.1 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 71c | 4,444$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.76 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Avalanche | 70c | 4,444$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Avalanche | 71c | 4,290$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Canadiens | 13c | 2,970$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.82 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Avalanche | 70c | 2,849$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.6 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens | 2c | 2,690$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 69c | 2,335$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.76 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche | 70c | 2,250$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Avalanche | 70c | 2,199$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.57 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Canadiens | 20c | 2,099$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Canadiens | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,843$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.83 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Avalanche | 69c | 1,771$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canadiens | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 69c | 1,525$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.64 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,501$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.44 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 30c | 1,497$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.03 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Canadiens | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Canadiens | 29c | 1,200$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 32c | 1,018$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.03 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canadiens | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Avalanche | 71c | 991.55$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4343backed Canadiens | 30c | 900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens | 31c | 877.12$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.46 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Avalanche | 70c | 860.6$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 79c | 730.16$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche | 69c | 714.97$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Avalanche | 71c | 692$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.83 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Avalanche | 70c | 670$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canadiens | 32c | 662$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.15 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 20c | 649.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…5a55backed Canadiens | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Canadiens | 31c | 629.03$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canadiens | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…b2dbbacked Avalanche | 70c | 580$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Avalanche | 70c | 569.5$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 21c | 521.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Avalanche | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Avalanche | 72c | 504.83$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…95f5backed Canadiens | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Canadiens | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…5be0backed Canadiens | 30c | 442.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Canadiens | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Avalanche | 70c | 388$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Canadiens | 29c | 359.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Canadiens | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Canadiens | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Canadiens | 30c | 332.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Canadiens | 31c | 312.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Avalanche | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Canadiens | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Canadiens | 32c | 299.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Canadiens | 29c | 275$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Avalanche | 75c | 260.14$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Canadiens | 30c | 254.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Canadiens | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Canadiens | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Avalanche | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Canadiens | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Canadiens | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Canadiens | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Avalanche | 69c | 195$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Canadiens | 20c | 180.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…4b23backed Canadiens | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Avalanche | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Avalanche | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Avalanche | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ee…e69cbacked Canadiens | 31c | 132.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -84%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Canadiens | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…080bbacked Canadiens | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed Canadiens | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…2927backed Avalanche | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Canadiens | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9a…ea48backed Canadiens | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Avalanche | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Canadiens | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Avalanche | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Canadiens | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Avalanche | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Avalanchethis page
- Canadiens vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.