Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66db640b2f20f163d215945999c94d35c633f146dfe039bb33a4aa1807ddfda7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79e7…a190backed Yes | 5c | 9,503$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 76c | 3,501$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 72c | 2,800$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.97 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 1,547$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.45 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,028$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 884.77$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.89 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Yes | 7c | 869.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 28c | 861.09$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.22 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 28c | 788.64$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.82 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 24c | 731.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 24c | 553.4$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Yes | 27c | 499.8$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 448.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1847backed Yes | 28c | 303.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 265.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb079…a1ccbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 29c | 186.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 167.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 147$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 71c | 136.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 25c | 135$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 25c | 134.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…ea07backed No | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 131$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 28c | 116.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 27c | 105.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…3057backed No | 75c | 97.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 21c | 89.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 25c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Yes | 28c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 38.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 17.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-15?this page
- Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-15?Yes won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.