Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c19e5795c475dff30611c5a64ea18f8623aba94aca1d6043a91c72653b8e957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,491$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,118$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.66 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 16c | 544.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 5c | 497$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 424.28$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 70c | 371.77$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed Yes | 30c | 313.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 12c | 141.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 111.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 29c | 89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 84.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Yes | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed No | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed No | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-15?Yes won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.