Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-15?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x693ad3f7a97679e442647dc0f415db69403b4fe67971b4f5e5809a0aa2ba032e

Rebuilt 31 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 15, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $59,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	45c	25,000$11,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,750	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No	55c	20,000$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	39c	5,166$2,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,020.32	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	55c	2,589$1,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,423.69	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No	54c	2,500$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.85	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	69c	1,864$1,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.39	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No	54c	1,485$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.52	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	75c	1,357$1,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.08	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No	55c	1,317$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.41	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes	46c	1,087$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.96	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes	46c	1,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No	57c	999.98$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.99	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes	74c	905.57$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.57	365	63%230 W · 135 L	+32.3wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	33c	905.54$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.92	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	35c	886.01$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.69	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes	45c	842.57$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.93	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes	47c	638.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.3	73	32.9%24 W · 49 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No	27c	540.28$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.48	117	27.4%32 W · 85 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	48c	485.58$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.03	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No	38c	454.3$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.26	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	45c	447.35$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.23	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes	43c	348.84$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.84	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No	54c	306.66$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.76	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	55c	300$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	43c	299$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.43	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes	44c	296$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.34	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes	74c	293$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.53	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x88a4…8793backed No	54c	284.99$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.9	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No	55c	237.1$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.41	75	60%45 W · 30 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No	51c	235.12$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.02	307	39.4%121 W · 186 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes	43c	232.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.59	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.56	80	40%32 W · 48 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes	46c	219.46$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.46	115	34.8%40 W · 75 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	243	49%119 W · 124 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c9…0dfebacked Yes	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed No	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No	53c	183.48$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.14	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x007a…c3abbacked Yes	47c	171.47$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.47	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes	45c	160$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	177	48%85 W · 92 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	67c	156.85$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.41	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes	72c	139.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.59	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes	43c	139.53$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.53	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9486…45c8backed Yes	46c	130.43$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.43	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes	45c	128.11$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.8	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	147	32%47 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	136	56.6%77 W · 59 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes	44c	99.98$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.99	180	52.2%94 W · 86 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes	43c	93.02$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.02	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Yes	42c	90$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.2	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes	45c	88.89$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.89	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-9.8wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Yes	44c	88$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.28	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Yes	46c	86$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.44	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	232	20.7%48 W · 184 L	-12.5wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes	43c	81.4$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.4	297	35.4%105 W · 192 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes	53c	81.38$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	306	66%202 W · 104 L	+57.3wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No	54c	81$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.74	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Yes	42c	80$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.4	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	43c	78$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.46	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28d…c9c6backed Yes	47c	74.47$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.47	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Yes	46c	69$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.26	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+6.1wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes	47c	66.1$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes	45c	65.98$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.29	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked No	58c	64$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.12	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9718…9546backed Yes	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2a…8a7bbacked Yes	47c	60.47$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.05	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes	43c	58.14$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.14	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	45c	55.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.56	196	54.6%107 W · 89 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	55c	55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	520	60.4%314 W · 206 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	28c	54.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.44	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No	20c	53.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed No	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-5.1wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked No	56c	48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes	43c	47$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.79	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No	58c	44.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No	56c	43$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	401	57.6%231 W · 170 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes	45c	40.87$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.48	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f26…8984backed Yes	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked No	57c	39.53$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked No	57c	39$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed No	56c	38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes	47c	36.17$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Yes	46c	36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes	45c	34$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.7	191	33%63 W · 128 L	-13.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked No	56c	33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked No	55c	33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	64cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No	56c	32.14$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked No	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed No	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-6.9wins	-0.23per pick	60cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked No	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed No	54c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	63cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b98…aa35backed Yes	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	68cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-15?this page
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-15?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-15?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event