NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb67551710e53b26d0bc2b7fb7ba29b7c638d0614638c5f0a5507a53695bddb9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 49c | 2,913$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.84 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,870$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 52c | 609.17$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 579.25$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.05 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 265.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Over | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…74ccbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…09f0backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 50c | 177.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Over | 51c | 177.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 43c | 136$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…0decbacked Over | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f3…6584backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 42c | 90.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…82c3backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…18edbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…618ebacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Over | 51c | 23.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…c9ddbacked Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. HawksHawks won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.