TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hawks, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Hawks51c29,394$14,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,894.431,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Hawks52c22,641$11,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,697.926654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Hornets49c22,268$10,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,312.364544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed Hornets50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks51c4,500$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Hornets49c4,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,29517554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Hawks52c3,333$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1628850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Hornets48c3,315$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.820542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets47c3,176$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets48c3,010$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.265,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Hornets50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.15644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Hawks52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks50c2,213$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Hawks52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks51c1,902$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Hawks52c1,374$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.435851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks50c1,086$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.732,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hawks50c1,003$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.892,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hornets50c1,003$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.6465339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Hawks51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets48c941$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.662,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks52c874$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.242,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets51c625$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.253,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets49c612$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.122,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd509…b06abacked Hawks52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Hawks52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Hawks52c458$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1639449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Hornets49c409.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0940648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Hawks52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hornets50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4741backed Hornets49c367.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.356065%39 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hornets48c215.38$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Hornets42c213.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.818554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x870b…2181backed Hornets50c207.4$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0bc…d556backed Hawks51c206.45$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Hornets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Hornets49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10219845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hornets49c196.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed Hawks51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008045%36 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Hawks52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Hawks52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020444.6%91 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x655d…b758backed Hornets52c192.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0924446.7%114 W · 130 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…e305backed Hawks51c154.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Hawks51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7511951.3%61 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Hornets49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.265855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd020…06bcbacked Hawks51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…24f4backed Hawks52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Hawks52c110.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.548146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hornets50c106.28$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.141,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Hornets48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5216559.4%98 W · 67 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Hornets49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5137750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f91…7c76backed Hawks40c99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.69852%51 W · 47 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Hornets51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0423550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets47c90.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.022,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Hornets50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4034451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Hawks51c73.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5880148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hawks51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.765950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Hawks52c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3644648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x895d…4970backed Hawks52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Hornets54c56.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.129135.2%32 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks46c56.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Hornets56c52.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9922243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Hornets49c50.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.987557.3%43 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hornets47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Hawks41c47.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.599645.8%44 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Hornets50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2195260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets49c38.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.873,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Hornets50c36.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1120456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Hornets50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1662349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Hornets50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.168142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hornets37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Hawks63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.99358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Hornets50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hornets50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets46c23.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.641,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65fd…7cdebacked Hornets51c23.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+82.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Hornets50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1033147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.