TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x897d…90c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
326
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST16559.4%98 W · 67 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Grizzlies vs. Wizardsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$42.6
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$41.4
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+150%+$120
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$31.5
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40.2
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$42.3
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$32.9
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST4254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$39
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.4
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$142
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.7
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tienbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$27.3
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tienbacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.72
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.89
Open de Moselle: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+113.5%+$37.47
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Open de Moselle: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+143.9%+$35.4
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+63.9%+$27.3
Open de Moselle: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will CD Guadalajara vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+100%+$50.02
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Valencia CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.5%+$110.29
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Will Mallorca win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37.54
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$73.1
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50.8
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$47.7
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$32.4
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$18.6
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.5wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-52.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+156.4%+$79.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$55.25
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+222.6%+$41.4
Newcastle United FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.12
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$50.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$60.7
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$49.5
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$52.9
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+179.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+80%+$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,409.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$145.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.