La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa89f4697c755cef7afe33d032ce011376b6ea8265c8bbb72e0b3c2022889f49e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 20,647$14,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380.39 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Yes | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 68c | 6,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 32c | 4,375$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…234dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,590$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 2,419$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.69 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…3ac5backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa829…bc90backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,980$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.81 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,520$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.92 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 31c | 954.84$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…203cbacked Yes | 31c | 882.16$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 839.35$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…e28cbacked No | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 68c | 653.84$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 31c | 520.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 25c | 396.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 30c | 351$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 17c | 345.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcf…0321backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 32c | 309.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 33c | 306.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 31c | 288$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…43fbbacked No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed No | 73c | 245.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 16c | 240.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 21c | 209.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 30c | 169.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 30c | 169.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 31c | 158.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…df50backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 142.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 68c | 138.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 33c | 136.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 131.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 15c | 131.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…e6a5backed No | 70c | 88.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 72c | 84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 31c | 83.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e61…3e4abacked No | 70c | 78.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…298fbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…65e2backed Yes | 32c | 71.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…ca22backed Yes | 32c | 64.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…3a60backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…91dcbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 60.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 79c | 55.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee90…4d8cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 43.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…8b84backed No | 73c | 42.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f0…883abacked No | 69c | 21.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 70c | 20.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd409…3fe1backed No | 69c | 14.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-03?this page
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-03?No won
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.