TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No63c40,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,80017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes40c35,436$14,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,172.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No60c21,080$12,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,432.022060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes37c18,118$6,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,703.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c7,202$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.424,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes38c6,638$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.745841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No61c5,311$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.7327453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes37c3,206$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.272835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Yes40c3,035$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…a6e2backed Yes37c2,300$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3c…324fbacked No62c2,300$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes38c2,121$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.996538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes40c1,798$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No61c1,792$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9215750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No62c1,426$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.8610956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No62c1,394$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.825648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44412050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No60c1,045$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.645253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3707060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c939.53$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c809.75$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.743,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked Yes38c788.06$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.68650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes15c672.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f4…258dbacked Yes37c541$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes41c510$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.11145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes15c430$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2339.1%3 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-56%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6896…3682backed Yes38c429.32$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked No62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes37c394.59$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14611049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No62c317$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No61c311.79$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No60c302.69$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0827854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes38c279.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes38c270$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.620255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes38c263.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No60c248.7$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.482147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be7…8d02backed Yes37c240.4$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick31cpaid-79.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes36c240.39$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5418650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No62c210.84$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.128552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes20c203.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.130743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No62c199.96$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9821355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed No60c198.26$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes38c184.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes39c177.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6926242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes39c169.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Yes38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8db…ddfcbacked Yes38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No64c155.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5923855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes37c149.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2716926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes39c138.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.937045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes38c131.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503020%6 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No60c128.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.311136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…5df3backed Yes21c104.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa2…c110backed Yes38c102.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375440.7%22 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4035054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No61c99.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.992020%4 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No63c99.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7942458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+77.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes38c84.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30100%0 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8474…0c67backed No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+140.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd728…9828backed Yes37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes38c79.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x422c…9644backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes38c78.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No63c70.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9953246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes38c66.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Yes38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.082638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fe…e803backed Yes38c65.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba6…01c8backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes39c58.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313157.3%75 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No61c57.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.517155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4380…f900backed Yes37c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc109…cc36backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5962…2446backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7386…b839backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52de…03b8backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd136…9d35backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb1…6240backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.