La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87fd49cec560abf47a5da3256a091306b4733a5150ec6784ae054bce9f0f0e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc919…a162backed Yes | 67c | 6,756$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 47c | 6,019$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.14 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 32c | 3,870$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.32 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 3,358$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.92 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,463$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.46 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,612$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.63 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…c45bbacked No | 69c | 1,446$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 32c | 1,308$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.69 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…28fbbacked No | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 1,029$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.12 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494f…a363backed No | 68c | 1,011$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…aeedbacked No | 69c | 915.94$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 24c | 813.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f1…5fcbbacked No | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Yes | 33c | 610.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 34c | 350.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…d8c3backed Yes | 69c | 316$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 30c | 313.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 31c | 295.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 37c | 287.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 32c | 271$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.28 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 264.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…af90backed No | 69c | 205.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 32c | 177$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 31c | 147$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 69c | 144.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 35c | 120.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 69c | 110.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…a3f3backed Yes | 72c | 72.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…482abacked Yes | 33c | 72.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…7d12backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 69c | 62.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 35c | 47.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 68c | 47.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…a618backed Yes | 64c | 38.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x619d…3323backed Yes | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…ca22backed Yes | 64c | 17.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna end in a draw?this page
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-03?No won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.