TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b0e…5b17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 32.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST5451.9%28 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$67.65
Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$91.57
Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$46.67
Lakers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$71.84
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+93.4%+$40.55
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$92.37
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$79
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+49.3%+$21.67
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$60.57
Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
1H Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.67
1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 112.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$99.13
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST3122.6%7 W · 24 L-9.3wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Ducksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$42.14
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$37.25
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$84.6
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28.87
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$32.37
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Penguins vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$44.95
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$165.9
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$238
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Capitals vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$55.59
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.96
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.76
Giants vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$70.82
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$56.73
Rockies vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$41.48
White Sox vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$85.75
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.2
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Phillies vs. Athleticsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$84.27
Rangers vs. White Soxbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$70.74
Giants vs. Nationalsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$40.28
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$89.39
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.7
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.85
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$182.63
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$120.24
Pirates vs. Philliesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Tigers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.89
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.17
Cardinals vs. Philliesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.26
Yankees vs. Marinersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Cubs vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+59.7%+$96.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$52.63
Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22.4
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$197.34
AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Newcastle United FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$74.84
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+117.4%+$70.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+174.4%+$231.99
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$78.91
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$51.46
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$70.68
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$130.81
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$47.88
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Chelsea vs. Wolves: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+112.8%+$135.32
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+114%+$99.21
Will Arsenal vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.74
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.9
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$223.91
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
SC Freiburg vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
SC Freiburg vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$41.09
Rangers FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25.16
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+79.4%+$19.86
AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
FC Midtjylland vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+62.8%+$172.02
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34.73
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$57
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+232%+$147.03
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$503.7
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$116.36
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.58
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Laslo Djerebacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+170%+$155.23
Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$38.47
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+103.4%+$30.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+171.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$39.84
Fenerbahce vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+86.9%+$86.91
BC Dubai vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$114
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+189.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+240.8%+$72.23
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+138.1%+$88.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+86.1%+$49.7
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$98.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Sparta Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$90.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$117
Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$107
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.24 on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.