MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4840b17787004f820e34de2e83338ba01e760a73202a1ca93260238624caded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Diamondbacks, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Cardinals | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,999.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cardinals | 53c | 20,527$10,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,648.89 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 13,200$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 10,470$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 10,334$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 9,500$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Cardinals | 54c | 8,383$4,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838.2 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 5,858$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.47 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,580$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.39 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 5,195$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 3,848$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.13 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 3,438$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.62 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 3,269$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.79 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 3,016$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.16 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,256$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.79 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Cardinals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,972$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.84 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,922$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.27 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,748$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.42 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,555$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Diamondbacks | 24c | 1,441$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,360$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.65 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 918$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Cardinals | 51c | 902.77$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.36 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Diamondbacks | 75c | 900$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 808.89$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.36 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 740$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.2 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 697.24$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cardinals | 67c | 663.9$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.09 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 598.63$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 557.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.83 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 524.35$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.27 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 519.58$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Diamondbacks | 22c | 480$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 68c | 441.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Cardinals | 52c | 397.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.54 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Diamondbacks | 10c | 395.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 57c | 377.55$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 76c | 318.57$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 17c | 315$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 312.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Cardinals | 54c | 271.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 55c | 253.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 253.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 243.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Diamondbacks | 23c | 217.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 51c | 199.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Cardinals | 55c | 198.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Diamondbacks | 6c | 187.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Cardinals | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks | 8c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 9c | 144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…f78dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 144$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 135.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 133.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 8c | 131.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 120.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Cardinals | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 118.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 63c | 103.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 102.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Cardinals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Cardinals | 53c | 87.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cardinals | 53c | 70.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 70.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…83bdbacked Cardinals | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 66.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…7040backed Diamondbacks | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +69%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 57.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Diamondbacks | 27c | 56.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Cardinals | 69c | 52.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cardinals | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.