TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Musettiof Korda, Musetti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$623,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$680,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Korda13c80,045$10,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,405.8566949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Musetti73c28,164$20,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,741.98,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Korda48c19,241$9,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,327.824544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Korda39c18,606$7,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,327.316644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Musetti75c18,379$13,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,670.3265558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6123…b735backed Musetti54c18,000$9,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd939…9eefbacked Korda46c18,000$8,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,280250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Korda45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,749.9322037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Musetti78c14,000$10,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,14044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Musetti72c12,000$8,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.046747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c3…05d5backed Korda1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Korda57c9,156$5,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,196.0165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fbc…84cabacked Musetti54c7,302$3,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1024…2a59backed Korda46c7,299$3,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,357.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Korda5c5,711$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.188313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Korda19c5,241$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Korda19c5,210$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.0738652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Korda8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Korda9c4,688$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.071,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Musetti79c4,381$3,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.242,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Musetti45c4,064$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Musetti69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2404557.8%26 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Musetti55c3,916$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.259742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Musetti70c3,660$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.352,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Korda60c3,528$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1204555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Korda19c3,323$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.552,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5f…65c8backed Musetti44c3,300$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Musetti77c3,286$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.86100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Korda20c3,000$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.047037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Musetti53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.981,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Musetti80c2,999$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.810060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Musetti50c2,988$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick41cpaid+98.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Korda34c2,965$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00175547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Korda46c2,800$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27527431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b3…ed48backed Musetti54c2,556$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Korda24c2,450$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.76530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Korda41c2,444$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.8212442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Musetti53c2,386$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.2313435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Musetti53c2,340$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.8962742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82d…1a99backed Musetti55c2,290$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Musetti58c2,208$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.4711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Korda31c2,185$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.0465242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e0…67c9backed Musetti54c2,180$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Musetti39c2,160$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.5439144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Korda47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38b…e331backed Musetti54c2,011$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Korda46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9207047.1%33 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Musetti54c2,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9303857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Korda47c2,000$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.878530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf7…9189backed Korda10c1,917$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Musetti53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7528640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Korda64c1,596$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.032450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Musetti49c1,510$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.528833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Korda44c1,497$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.4817823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Musetti55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.8759151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Korda55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0f…369fbacked Korda46c1,325$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Korda54c1,304$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7041450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0575…7e28backed Korda46c1,231$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6dd…219ebacked Korda46c1,156$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Korda45c1,147$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.189935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc851…1f6ebacked Korda48c1,102$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Korda16c1,092$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9163247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e2…7465backed Korda46c1,025$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73cb…23ebbacked Korda46c1,024$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Korda49c1,020$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.641526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Korda11c1,007$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.819131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Musetti50c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Korda49c1,000$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.557375.3%55 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fae…970bbacked Korda46c986$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Korda46c971.89$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc9…271abacked Korda45c936$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbf…5065backed Korda45c936$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Korda15c933.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14018933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3823…0040backed Musetti55c927$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Musetti54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.932065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Korda36c910.52$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4796035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebb5…66a9backed Korda13c908.38$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a8…20f9backed Musetti55c878$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b6d…74cdbacked Korda45c869$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a94…e2c6backed Musetti55c864$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2a…2090backed Korda45c860$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8a…0d93backed Musetti55c857$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Korda47c851$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9725244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Musetti76c834.11$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.121,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Korda45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Korda44c799.98$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.996046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7751…30ccbacked Korda45c785$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Musetti38c784.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6251933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Korda42c781.89$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2155143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Korda47c776.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1857645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Musetti53c760$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.031,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Musetti54c757.38$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.191844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb094…bf7fbacked Korda14c742.77$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.735127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x119a…9ee8backed Korda45c740$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Musetti54c714.99$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.987251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Korda59c692.29$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.7715447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3688…d794backed Korda45c690$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Korda45c667.97$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5947639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Musetti55c655$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.757335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.