NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4748eb0a753fe959eb66b03087e9876d772fbca102c1895daa6408d56e943e05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 44c | 28,980$12,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,751.1 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 58c | 22,262$12,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,438.86 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 9,069$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 7,235$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 56c | 5,326$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.71 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e907backed Over | 52c | 4,500$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.51 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 49c | 2,216$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.86 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 1,965$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.31 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 1,706$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Over | 53c | 1,475$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.54 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 53c | 1,332$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.84 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 56c | 1,249$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.56 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 1,211$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.66 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 51c | 1,158$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.42 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 56c | 1,140$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 53c | 940$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.8 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 930$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.62 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 46c | 639.48$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.16 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 54c | 618$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.28 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 42c | 597.59$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 56c | 595$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed Over | 50c | 574.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.35 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 502.56$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.79 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 52c | 455$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 56c | 449.09$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 56c | 421$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 56c | 402.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.11 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Over | 66c | 399.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Over | 55c | 299.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Under | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 252.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 43c | 249.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Over | 56c | 231.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2556…b00ebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 300 | 44.3%133 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Under | 8c | 172$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 55c | 169.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 123.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 52c | 115.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 113.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 56c | 106.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Over | 56c | 105.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…78bdbacked Over | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -10.8wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece8…4edbbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 58c | 93.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Over | 60c | 91.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 55c | 90.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…c57bbacked Over | 59c | 88.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 54c | 70.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 57c | 69.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…857ebacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 55.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…a660backed Under | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd527…81e4backed Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…223fbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 56c | 44.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Over | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -12.3wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…8abbbacked Over | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Thunder vs. WarriorsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.