NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x692e30a8a541c2e2f9dfe134e9b6c57047a4c1d7926fafc1ba44dc0531d239fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 46c | 20,600$9,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,476 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 9,891$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 9,870$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 4,061$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Under | 55c | 3,600$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.84 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 54c | 3,042$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Over | 55c | 2,900$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…6275backed Over | 52c | 2,673$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 1,836$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.55 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 49c | 1,628$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.53 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 54c | 1,484$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.64 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,407$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 1,348$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Over | 53c | 1,181$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.74 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…0cc9backed Over | 65c | 1,131$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 51c | 930$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.3 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Under | 56c | 880$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.55 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 56c | 715.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.29 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 72c | 714.47$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 700$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 669.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 562$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.76 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 529$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Under | 51c | 364.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.49 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 52c | 340$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 284.47$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 52c | 249.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 66c | 240.56$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 31c | 221.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -10.8wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Over | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 52c | 156.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 51c | 155.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Over | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 44c | 144.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 55c | 141.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 140.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 48c | 136.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 121$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Under | 47c | 118.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Under | 44c | 118.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 112.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…78bdbacked Under | 53c | 103$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 36c | 94.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 39c | 90.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 52c | 78.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Over | 63c | 74.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 52c | 72.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Under | 55c | 63.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 41c | 62.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 59.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 51c | 55.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 55c | 54.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…b580backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Over | 67c | 52.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 73c | 50.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d6…0529backed Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…44cabacked Under | 48c | 41.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 44c | 36.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…cbe8backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Under | 41c | 33.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Under | 45c | 27.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…73d8backed Under | 48c | 26.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 50c | 22.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 62c | 21.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Thunder vs. WarriorsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.