TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under46c20,600$9,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4761,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c9,891$4,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,683.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over54c9,870$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Over54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30047751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c4,061$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Under55c3,600$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.845139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over54c3,042$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.662,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed Over55c2,900$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3058048.8%39 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a61…6275backed Over52c2,673$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.08887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+73.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.9985147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c1,836$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.552,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under49c1,628$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.5335651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Over54c1,484$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.6469852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c1,407$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.72,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under50c1,348$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8380…b151backed Over53c1,181$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.7415056%84 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…0cc9backed Over65c1,131$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.021275%9 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48025642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under51c930$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.358951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Under56c880$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.554436.4%16 W · 28 L-7.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over56c715.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.2921055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over72c714.47$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.6848448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c700$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3462,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under31c669.45$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.63,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Over52c576$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4813748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c562$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.763,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c529$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.346,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23015844.3%70 W · 88 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Under51c364.39$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4927840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under52c340$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.867921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c284.47$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12010735.5%38 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Over52c249.93$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9717941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over66c240.56$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under31c221.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5435326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024522.2%10 W · 35 L-10.8wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-58.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8217456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Over56c160.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.717343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over52c156.02$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1349852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under51c155.61$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Over49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under44c144.39$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.851,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over55c141.34$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4435749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over49c140.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.672,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over48c136.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1112245.9%56 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under52c121$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.922,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Under47c118.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.773633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Under44c118.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.964022.5%9 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under49c112.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6880148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa848…78bdbacked Under53c103$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4554951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under36c94.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1263745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under39c90.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.891,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Under52c78.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2218053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffb2…3bb5backed Over63c74.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Over52c72.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5612156.2%68 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Under55c63.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Under41c62.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0510045%45 W · 55 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.612951.9%67 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.433950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under44c59.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.243,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Over51c55.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0515149.7%75 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ce…14b4backed Over55c54.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2512157%69 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb58e…b580backed Under49c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…232abacked Over67c52.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.243050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Over73c50.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8518554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7d6…0529backed Over50c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+128.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under52c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.361,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a9a…44cabacked Under48c41.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under44c36.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.151,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2d…cbe8backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Under41c33.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.683231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked Under45c27.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.432944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bda…73d8backed Under48c26.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Over55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2518357.4%105 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.045060%30 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under50c22.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5830244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Over62c21.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1984957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.