NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x459dd8f80c8270428e06908ea31b17b86f4d8d99cae7a3886186c8987ed48efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $774,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $786,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Warriors | 53c | 208,805$109,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,766.63 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 53c | 161,087$84,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,677.22 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Warriors | 51c | 100,000$50,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,505 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Thunder | 47c | 79,580$37,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,177.4 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 46c | 63,000$28,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,020.07 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 49c | 60,676$29,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,171.62 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Thunder | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 47c | 43,291$20,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,934.09 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 49c | 43,071$21,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,966.01 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 51c | 34,217$17,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,535 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 50c | 31,332$15,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,666.91 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Thunder | 50c | 30,617$15,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,308.68 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 40c | 24,811$9,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,868.53 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 50c | 21,256$10,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,525.23 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 50c | 19,678$9,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,838.97 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Warriors | 52c | 16,767$8,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,645.21 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Thunder | 49c | 15,555$7,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,933.05 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Warriors | 48c | 13,210$6,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,359.25 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 50c | 12,908$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,427.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Warriors | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 51c | 11,500$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Thunder | 47c | 11,225$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.09 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Warriors | 54c | 11,031$5,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 47c | 9,779$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…2592backed Thunder | 53c | 9,763$5,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,584.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 47c | 9,650$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder | 48c | 9,424$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.7 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Warriors | 49c | 7,200$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.2 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Thunder | 48c | 6,524$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Thunder | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Warriors | 51c | 5,740$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.4 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…cf3abacked Thunder | 50c | 5,576$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Warriors | 51c | 4,605$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.9 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Thunder | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…9577backed Warriors | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Thunder | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors | 48c | 2,972$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.49 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 47c | 2,647$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.86 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Thunder | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Thunder | 49c | 2,499$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.53 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…ed6cbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e8…29f1backed Warriors | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 46c | 2,228$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…6275backed Thunder | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 46c | 1,933$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.44 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Warriors | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Warriors | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Warriors | 60c | 1,668$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 40c | 1,652$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.16 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Warriors | 48c | 1,608$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.84 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Thunder | 29c | 1,460$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.6 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Thunder | 31c | 1,452$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.61 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,406$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.07 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Warriors | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,371$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.2 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,307$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Warriors | 47c | 1,296$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.12 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Warriors | 54c | 1,287$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,261$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Warriors | 52c | 1,124$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.19 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Warriors | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…98e3backed Warriors | 51c | 976.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Thunder | 50c | 960$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Warriors | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Warriors | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Thunder | 34c | 750$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…6953backed Warriors | 72c | 700$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Thunder | 4c | 698.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.39 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Warriors | 71c | 691.55$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Thunder | 47c | 684.79$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Thunder | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Warriors | 49c | 610.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…bb9bbacked Thunder | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed Warriors | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Thunder | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…4185backed Warriors | 49c | 570$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Warriors | 49c | 530.61$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 47c | 499.18$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 50c | 484.95$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…9f6fbacked Thunder | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Thunder | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Thunder | 49c | 426.87$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Thunder | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Thunder | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 31c | 416$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 49c | 410.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Thunder | 47c | 406.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Thunder | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Thunder | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Warriors | 48c | 400$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9a70backed Warriors | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Thunder | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Thunder | 54c | 372.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…2ccbbacked Warriors | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…8ce4backed Warriors | 54c | 359.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 47c | 350.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Thunder vs. WarriorsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.