TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x117c…db06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST18047.2%85 W · 95 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.76
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.39
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30.79
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.93
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$78.04
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+80.7%+$133.97
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$65.06
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$56.22
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+38.8%+$194.14
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$521
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$123.73
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$153.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$96.69
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+92.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$93
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+400%+$264
Will Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+455.6%+$300.67
Will Arsenal vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$210
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$285
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+354.5%+$312
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+29.8%+$59.62
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.7%+$72.06
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+40.3%+$80.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Sharksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$138
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$219.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.