NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x465417d483cd813860cf1543649f66eda63ae1e573339c94a0fc6f6b63f19765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 49c | 34,389$16,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,538.26 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Grizzlies | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Spurs | 49c | 25,016$12,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,758.21 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs | 49c | 10,482$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,370.6 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 7,688$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.17 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…f0ecbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 6,685$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Spurs | 47c | 5,538$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.13 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 4,634$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Spurs | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 3,750$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 52c | 2,976$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.2 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 2,784$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 2,381$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.44 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Spurs | 49c | 2,272$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.53 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Spurs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,797$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.44 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,756$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.53 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Spurs | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Spurs | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,382$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Grizzlies | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 51c | 926.96$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.75 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Spurs | 49c | 843$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Spurs | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 48c | 529.18$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.15 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Grizzlies | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 426.92$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Spurs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs | 41c | 398.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Spurs | 48c | 391.46$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 48c | 229.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Spurs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 207$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Grizzlies | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 197.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…74ccbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Spurs | 49c | 195.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Grizzlies | 52c | 176.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Spurs | 49c | 150.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Grizzlies | 52c | 126.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Spurs | 30c | 118.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 48c | 104.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Spurs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…7677backed Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Spurs | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Spurs | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Spurs | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Spurs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Spurs | 53c | 94.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Grizzlies | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Spurs | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Spurs | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 35c | 82.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Spurs | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Grizzlies | 51c | 79.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Grizzlies | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 52c | 63.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Spurs | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…1046backed Grizzlies | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Spurs | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Spurs | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Grizzlies | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…b628backed Spurs | 49c | 44.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…7d56backed Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Spurs | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…e935backed Spurs | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Grizzlies | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Grizzlies | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…fac3backed Spurs | 50c | 33.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…8400backed Grizzlies | 51c | 32.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Grizzlies vs. SpursSpurs won
- Grizzlies vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.