TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Under51c60,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,599.965151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over49c18,820$9,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,598.0440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed Over46c13,500$6,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2902864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4db…309dbacked Under54c13,500$7,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2902157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b3…69bebacked Over50c9,082$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,581.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Over49c8,571$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,371.431861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865a…f1ecbacked Over49c7,857$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.143354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under44c7,593$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.273,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over49c7,469$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.3436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c7,304$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.961,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under50c5,839$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.7152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under51c4,849$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.9948448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Over49c4,596$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.965152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over49c4,194$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.9424053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c3,110$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over49c2,978$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.5524847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over51c2,686$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.1658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Under54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.0841652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Over49c2,422$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.8110235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c2,401$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.732,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.7112341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c1,406$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.063,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4e…498abacked Over49c1,157$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.141963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over50c1,010$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.7650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under52c965.48$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Under52c962.69$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over47c917.02$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Over50c801.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.072951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c733$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over46c728.62$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Over55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31513435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over48c583$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.161,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under41c550.39$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.084,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over47c459.76$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.122,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under50c415$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.548347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under51c390.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over49c326.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5318241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c282$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.821,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…6275backed Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+73.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff33…91fbbacked Over51c240.29$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10469049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Under51c186.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9515146.4%70 W · 81 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2766046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under50c123.41$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7152643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x117c…db06backed Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6618047.2%85 W · 95 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5195548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5254951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5165855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over50c91.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.473,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.824552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.826648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.825150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8427350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8432649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8427251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.843935.9%14 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.617444.3%77 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ce…14b4backed Under51c58.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012157%69 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb664…5ca7backed Over50c53.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.744656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56a…9ef1backed Over51c53.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.044963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9952…4165backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over49c32.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6325642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588a…aeebbacked Under52c27.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.492548%12 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+71.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0825…0b5dbacked Under55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92dc…ae66backed Over51c26.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.974654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over47c22.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.730244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under56c20.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.452,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Under52c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.244844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.