TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Grizzlies, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,169,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,321,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,169,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 825 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Spurs56c147,246$82,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,642.428333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Spurs68c60,000$40,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20020253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies47c51,799$24,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,273.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Grizzlies34c41,656$14,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,163.215443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Spurs66c40,000$26,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,599.973748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x968b…e907backed Grizzlies33c40,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.961855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Grizzlies35c40,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.8651350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Spurs66c39,996$26,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,706.452142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies43c39,750$17,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,235.041,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies34c30,315$10,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,307.0970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Spurs48c21,001$10,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,899.6721944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies1c16,029$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs66c15,859$10,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,406.3334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies31c15,200$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,680.091,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2501,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Spurs66c15,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Spurs67c14,339$9,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,783.2559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs67c12,529$8,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.284,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Spurs59c12,410$7,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,080.718863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs67c12,367$8,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.242,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies38c12,206$4,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.926038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies34c12,123$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,149.593,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies34c12,000$4,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,029.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs64c11,544$7,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,155.871,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Grizzlies35c11,270$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Grizzlies36c11,110$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.563534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fa…da8dbacked Spurs67c10,300$6,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3994100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+94.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4f8…688fbacked Spurs67c10,255$6,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.154100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+94.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Grizzlies36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4a…87d4backed Spurs66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4003551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Spurs65c9,760$6,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,41611558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs67c9,362$6,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.163,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…d8c7backed Grizzlies33c9,255$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0904…4a6ebacked Grizzlies33c9,199$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies34c8,185$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,782.871,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs64c8,110$5,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Grizzlies37c8,000$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.2938649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs65c7,744$5,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.478445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Grizzlies33c7,675$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.6632827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs66c7,500$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55037557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Grizzlies34c7,500$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55022637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ad…61f2backed Grizzlies33c7,300$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7b…b0acbacked Grizzlies34c7,299$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies45c6,956$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1312,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Grizzlies21c6,266$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.8737930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe581…c1a4backed Spurs66c5,803$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb585…7615backed Grizzlies34c5,791$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Spurs65c5,430$3,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.1713743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Grizzlies51c5,384$2,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.8244654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd87…0333backed Spurs67c5,200$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs67c5,091$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.832,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Spurs66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddd…166cbacked Spurs64c4,865$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.366953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Spurs32c4,601$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.3822243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Spurs67c4,393$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.7722457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Grizzlies46c4,375$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Spurs67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies38c3,792$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.1285344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7316…7e56backed Spurs66c3,751$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs66c3,499$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.8273649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Grizzlies34c3,333$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.2228850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Spurs65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9217441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Grizzlies41c3,038$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.74040%16 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Spurs65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a1…9285backed Spurs67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Spurs67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.077050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies43c2,978$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.711,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Grizzlies72c2,964$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.7614856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc925…0789backed Grizzlies34c2,940$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Spurs52c2,928$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.4248132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies37c2,913$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.241,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies36c2,897$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.771,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Grizzlies37c2,887$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.4612541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Spurs62c2,850$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.279260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies34c2,786$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.3135235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies2c2,650$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.58820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies15c2,604$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.631,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked Spurs47c2,401$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.049943.4%43 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Grizzlies37c2,365$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.517050%35 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Spurs67c2,320$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.634942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Spurs65c2,305$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.7523135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Grizzlies35c2,300$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79956348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Spurs65c2,276$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.4211459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Spurs67c2,252$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.9136943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies34c2,236$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.231,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a6…fab1backed Spurs65c2,228$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Grizzlies39c2,206$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.6944648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe509…4245backed Grizzlies45c2,199$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.0110653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Grizzlies34c2,160$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.41822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies34c2,132$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.882,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Spurs68c2,109$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.814254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies34c2,050$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6971,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Grizzlies34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68025642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed Spurs65c2,000$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.053043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Spurs64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e0…f075backed Grizzlies9c1,813$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ee…3d48backed Grizzlies36c1,749$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs54c1,696$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.9981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies33c1,595$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.4595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies54c1,558$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.3248046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.