TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x588a…aeeb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2548%12 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+71.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.55
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$20.92
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.85
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+91.6%+$18.04
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.86
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+531.4%+$149.86
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18.72
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+69.6%+$20.88
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.3
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+354.5%+$119.87
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$29.98
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.49
Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.49
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.49
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29.66
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+650.9%+$94.51
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.14
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.2
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+77%+$77.51
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+426.3%+$165.07
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+578.6%+$140.01
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+58.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$22.66
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.7
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$21.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+602.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+602.8%+$83.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+89.2%+$9.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$16.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+59.5%+$11.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.