NFL · resolved market
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec0fa0e66a887af280320722859db5d215006a9da47a31077d69477ba5493f11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Raiders, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0549…c052backed Browns | 52c | 90,000$46,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,199.99 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Raiders | 48c | 68,000$32,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,640 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Browns | 52c | 66,656$34,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,996.32 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Raiders | 48c | 55,000$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,400 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Browns | 53c | 53,123$28,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,054.51 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed Raiders | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Raiders | 48c | 34,000$16,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,320 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raiders | 46c | 30,523$14,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,070.76 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Browns | 54c | 19,532$10,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,073.34 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Browns | 53c | 18,877$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,778.07 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Raiders | 47c | 13,000$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raiders | 47c | 8,700$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.99 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Browns | 53c | 7,412$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.1 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raiders | 48c | 5,216$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.68 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Browns | 52c | 5,002$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.04 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Browns | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Raiders | 47c | 4,726$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.22 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Raiders | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.96 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Raiders | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Raiders | 49c | 2,015$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.35 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Raiders | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7000…bf9cbacked Browns | 54c | 1,942$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raiders | 48c | 1,926$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.65 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Browns | 52c | 1,906$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Browns | 53c | 1,893$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.71 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Browns | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Raiders | 47c | 1,319$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Browns | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Raiders | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Raiders | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Browns | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Raiders | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Raiders | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Browns | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Browns | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Browns | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Browns | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Raiders | 45c | 599.64$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.74 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Browns | 54c | 588.18$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.56 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…f62bbacked Browns | 52c | 577.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Browns | 54c | 556$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Raiders | 48c | 555$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…e215backed Raiders | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 52c | 517$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.93 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Raiders | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Raiders | 49c | 415.71$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Browns | 49c | 406.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Raiders | 47c | 375$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Browns | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Raiders | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…9c86backed Browns | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Raiders | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Raiders | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Browns | 52c | 206.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Browns | 50c | 205.43$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Raiders | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Raiders | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Browns | 53c | 200.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Raiders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Browns | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Browns | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Browns | 79c | 196.51$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Browns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…1636backed Browns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Browns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Browns | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Browns | 52c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Raiders | 48c | 106.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a145backed Raiders | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Raiders | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Browns | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Browns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Browns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…8541backed Browns | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006b…daa6backed Raiders | 27c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Browns | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Browns | 53c | 75.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raiders | 49c | 62.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Raiders | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Browns | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Raiders | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Browns | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Browns | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Raiders | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2356…ddf5backed Browns | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed Browns | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Browns | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588a…aeebbacked Browns | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Browns | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…36dcbacked Raiders | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Raiders | 48c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Raiders | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Browns | 53c | 20.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Browns | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Browns | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Browns | 67c | 18.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raiders (-3.5)this page
- Browns vs. RaidersBrowns won
- Browns vs. Raiders: O/U 35.5Under won
- Browns vs. Raiders: O/U 36.5Under won
- Browns vs. Raiders: O/U 37.5Under won
- Browns vs. Raiders: O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: Raiders (-2.5)Browns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.