TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Raiders (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brownsof Raiders, Browns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$295,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0549…c052backed Browns52c90,000$46,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,199.995855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Raiders48c68,000$32,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,64016836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Browns52c66,656$34,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,996.3286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Raiders48c55,000$26,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,4005236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Browns53c53,123$28,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,054.5127454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ec…2493backed Raiders47c40,000$18,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,8001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Raiders48c34,000$16,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,32019645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Raiders46c30,523$14,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,070.7631240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Browns54c19,532$10,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,073.3453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Browns53c18,877$10,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,778.0744652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Raiders47c13,000$6,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1102025%5 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Raiders47c8,700$4,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,130.9926547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Browns53c7,412$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,514.11,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raiders48c5,216$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.6883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Browns52c5,002$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.0418140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Browns52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40034349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Raiders47c4,726$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.2218044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Raiders47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9626650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Raiders48c2,750$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3207732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Raiders49c2,015$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.3514035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Raiders48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7000…bf9cbacked Browns54c1,942$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+83.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raiders48c1,926$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.6575852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Browns52c1,906$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.33652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Browns53c1,893$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.7154451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…5019backed Browns53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.795141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Raiders47c1,319$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62012634.1%43 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Browns55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.913560%21 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Raiders48c1,020$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.613842%58 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Raiders50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Browns53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47011142.3%47 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Raiders46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Raiders48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48014945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Browns52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.544348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Browns54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9311154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Browns51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44122446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Browns54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36847738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Raiders45c599.64$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7435848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Browns54c588.18$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.567951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed78…f62bbacked Browns52c577.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.082343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Browns54c556$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7612151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Raiders48c555$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.47444.6%33 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8567…e215backed Raiders48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Browns52c517$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9383447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed Raiders48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008450%42 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Raiders49c415.71$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.72729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Browns49c406.25$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20720650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Raiders47c375$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.257731.2%24 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Browns55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.648461.9%52 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Raiders48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446030%18 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd496…9c86backed Browns52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Raiders46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Raiders47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Browns52c206.13$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5965048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Browns50c205.43$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4641450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1977…32e8backed Raiders49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019948.2%96 W · 103 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Raiders49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Browns53c200.08$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1211545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Raiders48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Browns52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db1…35a9backed Browns52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Browns79c196.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.328151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x387c…9188backed Browns52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3096…1636backed Browns52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Browns53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6813253%70 W · 62 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Browns54c127.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.786267.7%42 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Browns52c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.547348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcba…4d0bbacked Raiders48c106.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.021735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce32…a145backed Raiders48c106.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…28f4backed Raiders48c106.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Browns54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4622745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9da3…a7efbacked Browns52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1512054.2%65 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Browns52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b5…8541backed Browns52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x006b…daa6backed Raiders27c79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Browns52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9212548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d15…6914backed Browns53c75.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.839054.4%49 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Raiders49c62.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8553253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Raiders48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.824352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Browns52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2429751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked Raiders52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206246.8%29 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Browns52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2430442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Browns54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0426660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8861…e19fbacked Raiders54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2356…ddf5backed Browns54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.044052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df0…6979backed Browns55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Browns55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.517255.2%95 W · 77 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x588a…aeebbacked Browns53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Browns52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a45…36dcbacked Raiders48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123941%16 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Raiders48c22.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6616551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Raiders49c20.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.212722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Browns53c20.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7210357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Browns54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.224652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Browns55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2659…d77ebacked Browns67c18.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.052055%11 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.